Presidential Primary Recap

 

trump victory speech michigan

VICTORY SPEECH OR TRUMP SHOPPING NETWORK? 

 

With the nation’s attention focused on Trump’s hand/dong-size, or on Ben Carson bowing out and Mitt Romney bowing in (but failing), it’s easy to forget that actual voting took place in 9 states that held primaries/caucuses since last Tuesday.

On the Republican side, Donald Trump continued to Make America Hate Great Again by winning Kentucky (36%) Louisiana (41%) Hawaii (42%), Michigan (37%), and Mississippi (47%).

Trump increased his delegate lead to almost 100, but not nearly by as much as he hoped, thanks to Sen. Ted Cruz stealing a good share of delegates with 2nd place finishes in Kentucky, Louisiana and Michigan. Cruz also racked up actual victories in Kansas (48%) Maine (46%), Idaho (45%).

Interestingly enough, exit polls showed that “recently decided” voters backed Cruz and Gov. John Kasich way more than Trump – which means that some of the Trump bashing has worked. Well, it worked for everyone except Basher-In-Chief, Sen. Marco Rubio, who mostly finished dead last despite altering his campaign to match Trump’s sophomoric buffoonery.

Florida is the first winner-take-all state of the primary season (March 15), and Rubio drastically needs all 99 to even be mentioned after next week. Polls show Trump with a commanding lead in the sunshine state, so it would behoove the #NeverTrump Republicans to put all their huevos in Rubio’s basket to keep Trump from getting those 99 delegates, but Cruz (who is all but out of it in Florida) will never let that happen.

On the Democrat side, Sen. Bernie Sanders had himself a helluva week as he won handily in Kansas (67%), Nebraska (57%), and Maine (64%); and eked out a surprising victory in Michigan (49.8%).

Sec. Hillary Clinton continued her southern dominance, and won by huge margins in Louisiana (71%) and Mississippi (82%)

Michigan’s results were certainly shocking, as almost every poll had Clinton destroying Sanders by over 20 points.

Sanders has struggled to convince African Americans to Feel The Bern, particularly in the south, where he’s only around 15% of that demo – but Sanders took over 30% of Michigan’s African American vote and it clearly pushed him over the top. On the flip side, African Americans make up 69% of Mississippi’s Democratic voters – and 89% voted for Hillary.

Clinton’s lead is now over 200 delegates, but with “superdelegates” it’s around 700. However, even though almost every “news” organization in the country insists on adding the “super delegates” to Clinton’s corner, they’re not set in stone and can be changed at any time. Unfortunately, it seems that ALL outlets, ‘Liberal’ or ‘Conservative’, have an interest in convincing you that Clinton owns the nomination before it’s actually won.

For those already looking towards the general election, take note of these two interesting facts about the frontrunners:

Clinton is dominating in Red states, but losing the traditional Blue states (except Massachusetts). Democrats will lose the south regardless, but will her apparent unpopularity in the north hurt her in the general election? Will Bernie supporters in the north stay home on general election day – and give their states to Republicans by default?

On the GOP side, is Trump really the unbeatable force the media (and Trump) keep telling us he is? Don’t forget, Trump still polls an average national disapproval rating around 64% – that is YUGE. He might be getting all the press, but Americans HATE Trump in a way they haven’t for any politician running for office in recent memory.

Up next we got Washington DC for Republicans (March 12), and then both parties take on Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina on March 15. In those states Democrats have almost 700 delegates in play and Republicans have just over 400 – so the Noms are still up for grabs…for everyone not named Marco.